
BioStatistics in
real-time quantitative PCR and Bioanalytics
STATISTICS AND GENE EXPRESSION
ANALYSIS
by Terry Seed

Why do we measure gene
expression? The most common experiment is comparative: we want to
compare the mRNA
levels of one or more genes in cells from different sources.
Comparisons
of interest include tumour vs normal cells, cells from a specific organ
in a mutant or genetically modified organism vs cells from the same
organ
in a normal organism of the same strain, and cells before and after an
intervention such as a drug treatment. Another important class is the
time-course
experiments, where cells are sampled at different times, e.g. after the
administration of a drug, or as the cell cycle or development proceeds,
and interest is
in temporal patterns of gene expression. Yet other experiments focus on
spatial patterns of gene expression. There are many other kinds of gene
expression experiments, essentially as many as there are organisms,
cell types and
conditions of biological interest.
How do we measure gene
expression?
As stated above, there are many techniques for doing so, but most rely
on DNA-RNA or DNA-DNA hybridization. This is the process through which
single-stranded DNA or RNA molecules and and base-pair with their
complementary
sequences amidst a complex mixture of many molecules of the same kind.
The terminology we adopt names the sequence representing a gene of
interest
the probe, while the pool within which a complemen-tary copy of the
probe
is sought is named the target DNA or RNA. Other terminologies are the
reverse
of ours.
On what scale do we measure
gene expression? Much of the recent interest by statisticians in
this area stems from the availability of data sets giving
expression measurements on tens of thousands of genes,so-called
microarray gene expression data. However, nylon membrane filters with
thousands of genes spotted on them have been around for over a decade,
and smaller-scale quantitative expression data for much longer. We
begin with a discussion of the first and simplest method of quantifying
RNA, as many of the features of the high-throughput methods are already
present here.
PCR
Encyclopedia (2005): 101127-49 http://www.pcr-encyclopedia.com/
PDF
Joshua S.
Yuan
and C. Neal Stewart Jr.
Department
of
Plant Sciences and Genomics Hub, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN
37996,
USA
Statistical Selection
of Maintenance Genes for Normalization of Gene Expressions.
Yifan Huang Jason C. Hsu† Mario Peruggia‡ Abigail A. Scott
Statistical
Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology Volume 5, Issue 1 2006
Article 4

Maintenance genes can
be used for normalization in the comparison of gene expressions. Even though the
absolute expression levels of maintenance genes may vary considerably
among different
tissues or cells, a set of maintenance genes may provide suitable
normalization if their expression levels are
relatively constant in the specific tissues or cells of interest. A
statistical procedure is proposed
to select maintenance genes for normalization of gene expression data
from tissues
or cells of interest. This procedure is based on simultaneous
confidence intervals for practical equivalence of
relative gene expressions in these tissues or cells. As an
illustration, the procedure is applied
to the maintenance gene expression data from Vandesompele et al. (2002).
Statistical
Significance of quantitative PCR.
Yann
Karlen , Alan McNair , Sebastien Perseguers , Christian Mazza &
Nicolas Mermod
BMC
Bioinformatics 2007, 8: 131

Background
PCR has the potential to detect and precisely quantify specific DNA
sequences, but it is not yet often used as a fully quantitative method.
A number of data collection and processing strategies have been
described for the implementation of quantitative PCR. However, they can
be experimentally cumbersome, their relative performances have not been
evaluated systematically, and they often remain poorly validated
statistically and/or experimentally. In this study, we evaluated the
performance of known methods, and compared them with newly developed
data processing strategies in terms of sensitivity, precision and
robustness.
Results
Our results indicate that simple methods that do not rely on the
estimation of the efficiency of the PCR amplification may provide
reproducible and sensitive data, but that they do not quantify DNA with
precision. Other evaluated methods based on sigmoidal or exponential
curve fitting were generally of both poor sensitivity and precision. A
statistical analysis of the parameters that influence efficiency
indicated that it depends mostly on the selected amplicon and to a
lesser extent on the particular biological sample analyzed. Thus, we
devised various strategies based on individual or averaged efficiency
values, which were used to assess the regulated expression of several
genes in response to a growth factor.
Conclusions
Overall, qPCR data analysis methods differ significantly in their
performance, and this analysis identifies methods that provide DNA
quantification estimates of high precision, robustness and reliability.
These methods allow reliable estimations of relative expression ratio
of two-fold or higher, and our analysis provides an estimation of the
number of biological samples that have to be analyzed to achieve a
given precision.
Statistical diagnostics emerging from external quality control of real-time PCR.
Marubini E, Verderio P, Raggi CC, Pazzagli M, Orlando C; Italian Network for Quality Assessment of Tumor Biomakers; Italian Society of Clinical Chemistry and Clinical Molecular Biology.
Institute of Medical Statistics and Biometry, Universita degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Besides the application of conventional qualitative PCR as a valuable
tool to enrich or
identify specific sequences of nucleic acids, a new revolutionary technique for quantitative PCR
determination has been introduced recently. It is based on real-time detection of
PCR products revealed as a homogeneous accumulating signal generated by
specific dyes. However, as far as we know, the influence of the variability of
this technique on the reliability of the quantitative assay has not been
thoroughly investigated. A national program of external quality assurance (EQA)
for real-time PCR determination involving 42
Italian laboratories
has been developed to assess the analytical performance of real-time PCR procedures.
Participants were asked to perform a conventional experiment based on the use of an
external reference curve (standard curve) for real-time detection of three cDNA
samples with different concentrations of a specific target. In this paper the
main analytical features of the standard curve have been investigated in an
attempt to produce statistical diagnostics emerging from external quality
control. Specific control charts were drawn to help biochemists take technical
decisions aimed at improving the performance of their laboratories. Overall, our
results indicated a subset of seven laboratories whose performance
appeared to be markedly outside the limits for at least one of the standard curve
features investigated. Our findings suggest the usefulness of the approach
presented here for monitoring the heterogeneity of results produced by different
laboratories and for selecting those laboratories that need technical advice on
their performance.
Statistical
Inference for Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction Using a Hidden
Markov Model:
A Bayesian Approach
Nadia
Lalam, Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden
Statistical
Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology: Vol. 6 : Iss. 1,
Article 10.
Quantitative
Polymerase Chain Reaction (Q-PCR) aims at determining the initial
quantity of specific nucleic acids from the observation of the number
of amplified DNA molecules. The most widely used technology to monitor
the number of DNA molecules as they replicate is based on fluorescence
chemistry. Considering this measurement technique, the observation of
DNA amplification by PCR contains intrinsically two kinds of
variability. On the one hand, the number of replicated DNA molecules is
random, and on the other hand, the measurement of the fluorescence
emitted by the DNA molecules is collected with some random error.
Relying on a stochastic model of these two types of variability, we aim
at providing estimators of the parameters arising in the proposed
model, and, more specifically, of the initial amount of molecules. The
theory of branching processes is classically used to model the
evolution of the number of DNA molecules at each replication cycle. The
model is a binary splitting Galton-Watson branching process. Its
unknown parameters are the initial number of DNA molecules and the
reaction efficiency of PCR, which is defined as the probability of
replication of a DNA molecule. The number of DNA molecules is
indirectly observed through noisy fluorescence measurements resulting
in a so-called Hidden Markov Model. We aim at inference of the
parameters of the underlying branching process, and the parameters of
the noise from the fluorescence measurements in a Bayesian framework.
Using simulations and experimental data, we investigate the performance
of the Bayesian estimators obtained by Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods.
Common practice in molecular biology may introduce statistical bias and misleading biological interpretation.
Hocquette JF, Brandstetter AM. J Nutr Biochem. 2002 Jun;13(6):370-377.

Unite de Recherches sur les Herbivores, Equipe Croissance et Metabolismes du Muscle, Theix, 63122, Saint-Genes-Champanelle, France
In studies on enzyme activity or
gene expression at the protein level, data are usually analyzed by using a
standard curve after subtracting blank values. In most cases and for most techniques
(spectrophotometric assays, ELISA), this approach satisfies the basic
principles of linearity and specificity. In our experience, this might be also the
case for Western-blot analysis. By contrast, mRNA data are usually presented as
arbitrary units of the ratio of a target RNA over levels of a control RNA
species. We here demonstrate by simple experiments and various examples that this
data-normalization procedure may result in misleading conclusions. Common
molecular biology techniques have never been carefully tested according to the
basic principles of validation of quantitative techniques. We thus prefer a
regression-based approach for quantifying mRNA levels relatively to a control RNA
species by Northern-blot, semi-quantitative RT-PCR or similar techniques. This
type of techniques is also characterized by a lower reproducibility for repeated
assays when compared to biochemical analyses. Therefore, we also recommend to
design experiments, which allow the detection of a similar range of variance by
biochemical and molecular biology techniques. Otherwise, spurious conclusions
may be provided regarding the control level of gene expression.
Confidence interval estimation for DNA and mRNA concentration by real-time PCR: A new environment for an old theorem.
Verderio P, Orlando C, Casini Raggi C, Marubini E. Int J Biol Markers. 2004 Jan-Mar;19(1):76-9.

Operative Unit of Medical Statistics and Biometry, Istituto Nazionale per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori, Milan, Italy. paolo.verderio@istitutotumori.mi.it
Bravais-Pearson and Spearman correlation coefficients: meaning, test of hypothesis and confidence interval.
Artusi R, Verderio P, Marubini E.
Int J Biol Markers. 2002 Apr-Jun;17(2):148-51.

Operative Unit of Medical Statistics and Biometry, Istituto Nazionale per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Biostatistics and tumor marker studies in breast cancer: design, analysis and interpretation issues.
Biganzoli E, Boracchi P, Marubini E. Int J Biol Markers. 2003 Jan-Mar;18(1):40-8.

Unita di Statistica Medica e Biometria, Istituto Nazionale per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori, Milan, Italy. biganzoli@istitutotumori.mi.it
SAS programs for real-time RT-PCR having multiple independent samples.
Cook P, Fu C, Hickey M, Han ES, Miller KS. Biotechniques. 2004 Dec;37(6): 990-995.

University of Tulsa, Tulsa, OK 74104, USA.
Relative real-time reverse
transcription PCR (RT-PCR) has become an important tool for quantifying changes in
messenger RNA (mRNA) populations following differential development or
stimulation of tissues or cells. However, the best methods for conducting such
experiments and analyzing the resultant data remain an issue of discussion. In this
report we describe an appropriate experimental methodology and the computer
programs necessary to generate a meaningful statistical analysis of the
combined biological and experimental variability in such experiments. Specifically,
logarithmic transformations of raw fluorescence data from the log-linear portion
of real-time PCR growth curves for both target and reference genes are analyzed
using a SAS/STAT Mixed Procedure program specifically designed to give a
point estimate of the relative expression ratio of the target gene with associated
95% confidence interval. The program code is open-source and is printed in the
text.
Relative
Expression Software Tool (REST©) for
group wise comparison
and statistical analysis of
relative expression results in real-time PCR
Michael W.
Pfaffl Graham W. Horgan & Leo Dempfle
Nucleic Acids
Research 2002 May 1; 30(9): E36
=> download
latest REST
versions <=
Real-time reverse transcription followed by polymerase chain
reaction (RT-PCR) is the most suitable method for the detection and quantification of
mRNA. It offers high sensitivity, good reproducibility, and a wide quantification
range. Today relative expression is increasingly used, where the expression of a
target gene is standardised by a non regulated reference gene. Several mathematical
algorithm have been developed to compute an expression ratio, based on real-time
PCR efficiency and the crossing point deviation of an unknown sample versus a
control. But all published equations and available models for the
calculation of relative expression ratio allow only for the determination of a single
transcription difference between one control and one sample. Therefore a new software tool
was established, named REST © (Relative Expression Software Tool), which compares
two groups, with up to 16 data points in sample and
16 in control
group, for reference and up to four target genes. The mathematical model
used is based on the PCR efficiencies and the mean crossing point
deviation between
sample and control group. Subsequently the expression ratio results of
the four
investigated transcripts are tested for significances by a
randomisation
test. Herein
development and application of REST is explained and the usefulness
of relative
expression
in real-time PCR using REST is discussed.
Kinetic Outlier Detection (KOD) in
real-time PCR.
Tzachi Bar, Anders Stahlberg, Anders Muszta and Mikael Kubista
NAR Vol 31(17) e105
Department of
Chemistry and
Bioscience, Chalmers University of Technology, Medicinargatan 7B, 405 30 Gothenburg, Sweden,
Department of Mathematical Statistics, Eklandagatan 86, 412 96,
Gothenburg, Sweden
TATAA Biocenter, Medicinargatan 7B, 405 30 Gothenburg, Sweden
Real-time PCR is becoming the
method of choice for precise quantification of minute amounts of
nucleic acids. For proper comparison of samples, almost all
quantification methods assume similar PCR effciencies in the
exponential phase of the reaction. However, inhibition of PCR is common
when working with biological samples and may invalidate the assumed
similarity of PCR effiencies. Here we present a statistical method,
Kinetic Outlier Detection (KOD), to detect samples with dissimilar
effiiencies. KOD is based on a comparison of PCR effciency, estimated
from the amplifiation curve of a test sample, with the mean PCR
effiency of samples in a training set. KOD is demonstrated and
validated on samples with the same initial
number of template molecules, where PCR is inhibited to various degrees
by elevated concentrations of dNTP; and in detection of cDNA samples
with an aberrant ratio of two genes. Translating the dissimilarity
in efficiency to quantity, KOD identifies outliers that differ by
1.3±1.9-fold in their quantity from normal samples with a
P-value
of 0.05. This precision is higher than the minimal 2-fold difference in
number of DNA molecules that real-time PCR usually aims to detect.
Thus, KOD may be a useful tool for outlier detection in real-time PCR.
"The book's title suggests that he
can make biostatistics intuitive for non-statisticians (e.g.
physicians, clinicians and nurses). After reading through it he has
made a believer out of me! He introduces concepts through examples and
touches on most of the important statistical methods that are used in
the medical literature. ... My usual concern with such books is that
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Amazingly that is not the case here. Motulsky
carefully explains concepts such as confidence intervals, p-values,
multiple comparison issues, Bayesian thinking and Bayesian controversy
in a way that should be understandable to his intended audience." by
Michael R.
Chernick,
PhD (review posted on amazon.com)
We created
the GraphPad library to help biologists (and other scientists) learn
about data analysis. This "library"
contains articles and manuals written by GraphPad, as well
as links to web sites and books written by others. http://www.graphpad.com/index.cfm?cmd=library.index
Applied Robust Statistics
David J. Olive, Southern Illinois University, Department
of Mathematics, Carbondale, IL 62901-4408
PCR
Bioinformatics and Web based Primer Design
http://www.herts.ac.uk/natsci/STC/bio/pcrbio.html
There have been a number
of key developments in molecular biology techniques however one that
has had the most impact in recent years has
been the polymerase chain reaction or PCR. One of the
reason for the adoption of the PCR is the elegant simplicity
of the reaction and relative ease of the practical manipulation
steps. Frequently this is one of the first techniques used when
analyzing DNA, it has opened up the analysis of cellular and
molecular processes to those outside the field of molecular
biology. There
have been a number of key developments in molecular
biology techniques however one that has had the most impact in
recent years has been the polymerase chain reaction or
PCR. One of the reason for the adoption of the PCR is the
elegant simplicity of the reaction and relative ease of the practical
manipulation steps. Frequently this is one of the first
techniques used when analyzing DNA, it has opened up the analysis
of cellular and molecular processes to those outside the field
of molecular biology.
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